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Home | Daily Dose | New Home Sales Plummet 14.5% in March
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New Home Sales Plummet 14.5% in March

The pace of new home sales plunged in March to their lowest level in eight months, driving down hopes of a seasonal renewal in housing activity.

Monthly data released Wednesday by HUD and the Census Bureau shows sales of new homes last month plummeting 14.5 percent from February to an estimated seasonally adjusted yearly rate of 384,000. The last time transactions ran so low was last July, when they came to 383,000.

Based on applications for new home purchases recorded in March, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) had predicted an adjusted sales rate of 479,000 for the month. Meanwhile, a consensus forecast offered in a survey of economists done by Bloomberg predicted a rate of 455,000.

The latest news is sure to disappoint market analysts who had hoped sales would improve following the end of a harsh winter and the beginning of the year’s busy season for housing. It also puts a large hole in arguments earlier this year that housing experienced a slowdown largely due to icy conditions.

“[I]t’s not out of the question that this is the hit from the severe weather earlier this year,” said Paul Diggle, property economist for research firm Capital Economics. “But the drop feel[s] too late and too large to sit comfortably with such explanations.”

Rather, March’s huge decline likely stems from a stringent credit environment that’s “had a detrimental effect on modest-priced markets and ... hit first-time home buyers particularly hard,” said David Crowe, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB).

As a result, most sales right now are coming from a small pool of buyers who have an established credit history and who are able to purchase higher-priced homes, Crowe added.

The group’s builder confidence index for the new, single-family home market shows a slight majority of builders continue to see housing in a negative light, with traffic of prospective buyers particularly low.

Regionally, the Commerce Department reported sales were down in the Midwest (-21.5 percent on a monthly basis), the South (-14.4 percent), and the West (-16.7 percent). Sales in the Northeast bucked the trend, rising 12.5 percent.

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About Author: Tory Barringer

Tory Barringer
Tory Barringer began his journalism career in early 2011, working as a writer for the University of Texas at Arlington's student newspaper before joining the DS News team in 2012. In addition to contributing to DSNews.com, he is also the online editor for DS News' sister publication, MReport, which focuses on mortgage banking news.

One comment

  1. Profile wp-user-avatar wp-user-avatar-45 alignnone photo of

    The problem in Colorado is supply, not demand. We have plenty of buyers, just not enough houses. I believe this to be true in some other areas of the country as well. Should have been factored into the article.

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