Tag Archives: IHS Global Insight

The nation's unemployment rate fell to 8.6 percent during the month of November, as employers added 120,000 new jobs to their payrolls, the U.S. Department of Labor said Friday. By the government's calculations, the unemployment rate declined by 0.4 percentage point from 9.0 percent reported in October to hit its lowest level since March of 2009. Employment assessments for both October and September were revised upward. Analysts were expecting the economy to add 125,000 new jobs last month, but the rate to hold at 9.0 percent.

Home prices rose in the third quarter of 2011, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency's (FHFA) house price index released Tuesday. The index is calculated using home sales price information from Fannie Mae- and Freddie Mac-acquired mortgages. It rose 0.2 percent between the second and third quarters. Even with the marginal uptick during the summer months, FHFA's gauge shows that over the past year, home prices have fallen 3.7 percent when compared to the third quarter of 2010.

The monthly home price index from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) has recorded its first decline since March. FHFA reported Tuesday that home prices in the U.S. fell 0.1 percent from July to August, and the previously reported 0.8 percent increase recorded for July was revised to reflect no change. Data released the very same day by Standard & Poor's showed a 0.2 percent increase in the Case-Shiller home price index for the same period. Economists say FHFA's index is ""a better barometer.""

Sales of previously owned homes slipped 3 percent between August and September, according to data released by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) Thursday. That follows a jump of nearly 19 percent between July and August. The decline was widely expected as sales activity follows the typical seasonal cycle and heads lower with the mercury in the thermometer. Distressed homes accounted for 30 percent of sales in September. Eighteen percent were foreclosed homes and 12 percent were pre-foreclosure short sales.

Last month's 18.6 percent surge in existing-home sales from a year earlier had some market observers doing a double-take, but Galen Ward, who runs a real estate brokerage web site, says it wasn't unexpected. Michael Simonsen of Altos Research says anything is going to look good coming off the market's tax-credit hangover this time last year. But the fact that the median home price was down more than 5 percent from August 2010 at the same time sales jumped so sharply is one of the most telling stats for Clear Capital's Alex Villacorta.

The Federal Reserve put a conditional timestamp on its interest rate policy Tuesday - a different voice from the ""extended period"" mantra heard from the U.S. central bank for the past two-and-a-half years. The Fed's board again voted to hold the target range for the rate at which banks lend to one another at 0 to 0.25 percent, but this time they included an advisory that the rate would remain at this level for the next two years. Officials cited the ""depressed"" state of the housing market as one of the economy's biggest hindrances.

The closely watched S&P/Case-Shiller index showed its strongest positive movement since last summer with the release of Tuesday's report. The analysts at Standard & Poor's described the news as a ""welcome shift from recent months."" While it may fuel cautious optimism that at least a short-range upward trend is already in the making, industry experts and market analysts put the latest numbers into context and share their views on what to expect in the months ahead.

Distressed properties accounted for just 31 percent of existing-home sales in May, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported Tuesday. The ratio of distressed homes - typically bank-owned or pre-foreclosure short sales - was down from 37 percent in April and 40 percent in March. A pick-up in non-distressed sales volume is typical for the spring and summer seasons, but last month, overall sales of previously owned homes dropped along with the distressed percentage to hit a six-month low.

Home equity continued to head south during the first part of the year, but losses were eclipsed by another big jump in the value of financial assets as the stock market sustained positive movement. This, combined with a further reduction in overall debt levels, pushed household net worth higher during the first quarter, according to the Federal Reserve. Real estate assets lost $349 billion of their value over the first three months of 2011. The Fed says a mere 38 percent in homeowner equity is now the norm.

The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index confirmed a double-dip in home prices across much of the country as Standard & Poor's national reading fell another 4.2 percent during the first quarter. One economist notes that prices have now fallen by more than they did during the Great Depression. On that occasion, the peak in home prices was not regained for 19 years. The widespread view is that with over a quarter of all mortgages underwater and 6.3 million homeowners either delinquent or in foreclosure, home prices have not yet hit bottom.