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Author Archives: Mark Lieberman

Mark Lieberman is the former Senior Economist at Fox Business Network. He is now Managing Director and Senior Economist at Economics Analytics Research. He can be heard each Friday on The Morning Briefing on POTUS on Sirius-XM Radio 124.

Builder Confidence Up to Five-Year High in May

Builder confidence jumped five points in in May to 29, its highest level since May 2007, the National Association of Home Builders reported Tuesday. Economists had expected the index to edge up to 26 in May. The month-month increase was the largest since April 2009. The total index in May was up 13 points from May 2011, the strongest year-over-year gain since April 2004. All three components of the index - current sales, sales six months out, and buyer traffic - showed strong increases in May, with buyer traffic and current sales conditions each rising five points while the projection of sales six months ahead increased three points.

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Initial Unemployment Claims Dip

First time claims for unemployment insurance resumed their steady decline dipping 1,000 to 367,000 for the week ended May 5, the Labor Department reported Thursday after the previous week's total was revised upward by 3,000 to 368,000, the highest level in five months.

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Slow Growth: 115,000 Jobs Added In April, Unemployment Rate Down

The nation added 115,000 jobs in April, far below expectations and a drop from March’s revised payroll growth of 154,000, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. The closely watched unemployment rate dipped again to 8.1 percent – its lowest level since January 2009 (7.8 percent) when President Obama took office – a function of a sharp drop in the nation’s labor force. Payroll gains for February and March were revised, adding 19,000 to the February numbers and 34,000 to March. The average workweek remained at 34.5 hours – still below the level when the recession began in December 2007 (34.6) and average hourly earnings improved by one cent. The number of people not in the labor force increased, as both the number of people employed and unemployed declined.

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Initial Unemployment Claims Drop Sharply

First time claims fell a surprising 27,000 to 365,000 for the week ended April 28, the Labor Department reported Thursday after revisions drove the prior week’s report up by 4,000 to 392,000, the highest level in five months. Economists had expected initial claims would decrease to 378,000.

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Banks Resume Mortgage Tightening Lending Standards

With an upsurge in demand, banks resumed tightening standards for residential mortgage loans, the Federal Reserve reported Monday (April 30) in its quarterly survey of bank lending standards. According to the survey, a net 30.2 percent of banks surveyed in the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey reported increased demand in the first quarter for traditional mortgage loans compared with a net 3.8 percent reporting stronger demand in the fourth quarter. According to the survey though, a net 1.9 percent of survey respondents reported tightening loan standards compared with the first quarter when a net 5.7 percent said they were easing standards.

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Homeownership Rate Falls to 15-Year Low

The nation’s homeownership rate (seasonally adjusted) dropped to 65.4 percent in the first quarter, its lowest level since the first quarter of 1997, the Census Bureau reported Monday. The homeownership rate fell in all four census regions in the first quarter – the steepest drop in the Northeast, 1.2 percentage points to 62.5 percent. The homeownership rate fell 0.8 percentage points in the South to 67.5 percent; 0.5 percentage points in the Midwest to 69.5 percent, and 0.2 percentage points in the West to 59.9 percent. At the same, the homeowner vacancy rate fell to 2.2 percent nationwide, down from 2.6 percent in the first quarter of 2011, and the rental vacancy rate dropped to 8.8 percent from 9.7 percent one year earlier.

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Consumer Spending Slows Sharply in March; Savings Rate Edges Up

Consumer spending grew just 0.3 percent in March, down from the 0.9 percent growth in February, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Monday. Economists had expected spending to be up 0.4 percent. At the same time, personal income grew 0.4 percent in March, BEA said, slightly faster than February's 0.3 percent growth and consensus expectation of 0.3 percent. Personal savings as a percentage of disposable (after tax) income edged up to 3.8 percent in March from 3.7 percent in February; it had been 4.3 percent in January.

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First-Quarter GDP Growth Slows to 2.2%, Drop in Government Spending

The US economy grew at a disappointing 2.2 percent in the first quarter, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Friday, down from the 3.0 percent growth rate in the fourth quarter and below expectations. Economists had expected GDP to grow at 2.5 percent in the first quarter. In dollar terms, GDP increased $73.4 billion, most of which was an increase in personal consumption - $68.1 billion. A slowdown in government spending subtracted $19.0 billion, most of which was a $15.0 billion drop in federal spending in the first quarter from the fourth.

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Pending Home Sales Index Jumps in March

The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) rose sharply in March to 101.4 from February’s revised 97.4, the National Association of Realtors reported Thursday. Economist had expected the index to increase 1.0 percent from February. The index is now at the highest level since April 2010 when it reached 111. The index improved for the third straight month and fifth time in the last 6 months. The March reading is up 12.8 percent from March 2011, the strongest year-over-year gain since last July when the index was 15.4 percent over its year-earlier level.

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Initial Unemployment Claims Dip But Remain Elevated

First time claims for unemployment insurance remained over 380,000 for the third straight week for the week ended April 21, the Labor Department reported Thursday, the highest levels of the year. According to the report there were 388,000 initial claims, down from the revised 389,000 one week earlier.

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