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Market Studies

Millions of Above-Water Borrowers Lack Enough Equity to Move

According to Zillow, the national negative equity rate was 25.4 percent in the last quarter compared to 27.5 percent at the end of 2012. That percentage represents slightly more than 13 million homeowners with a mortgage, Zillow said. However, when including homeowners with less than 20 percent home equity, the ""effective"" negative equity rate climbs to 43.6 percent, or a total of 22.3 million homeowners. Zillow explained that these homeowners likely can't afford a down payment for a new home, tying them to their current homes and exacerbating the inventory shortage.

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Income, Transactions Improve for Commercial Realtors

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported members who practice commercial real estate saw median income rise to the highest level since 2008, reflecting progress in the commercial sector. In 2012, commercial Realtors reported a median annual income of $90,200 in 2012, up from $86,000 in 2011, according to NAR's 2012 Commercial Member Profile. Among NAR members in commercial real estate, brokers and appraisers brought in the highest income last year, and sales agents reported the lowest. Most members--60 percent--were brokers, while 25 percent were sales agents.

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FHFA: Home Prices Rise for 7th Straight Quarter

U.S. home prices appreciated at a strong pace in the first quarter as prices rose 1.9 percent from the previous quarter, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) reported. The quarterly gain marks the seventh straight increase. Compared to the first quarter of 2012, prices were up by 6.7 percent, according to the FHFA's seasonally adjusted, purchase only House Price Index (HPI). From February to March, the index increased by 1.3 percent. FHFA also reported 41 states plus the District of Columbia experienced quarterly price gains.

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New Home Price Hits Record High in April

The price of a new single-family home soared to a record high in April as sales jumped 2.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 454,000, the Census Bureau and HUD reported Thursday. The median price of a new home, according to the Census/HUD report, soared $20,900 (8.3 percent) in April to $271,600, the highest price on record. The inventory of homes available for sale rose to 155,000--the highest level since November 2011--translating to a 3.5 month supply, matching March for a record low.

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First-Time Jobless Claims Fall; Sequester Cuts Ongoing Claims

First-time claims for unemployment insurance for the week ended May 18 dropped 23,000 to, 340,000 from the highest level since the end of March, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Economists expected initial claims to drop to 345,000. First-time jobless claims for the week ended May were revised up to 363,000 from the originally reported 360,000.

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Study: Women Own Less Mortgage Debt, Less Likely to Be Delinquent

Although data shows women generally earn less income than men, results from a recent Experian study found women come out ahead when comparing how mortgage debt is managed. According to the study, men were more likely to have a higher mortgage loan amount compared to women, but men were also more likely to be delinquent by 60 days or more. Experian found the mortgage origination amount for men was $187,245, which is 4.9 percent higher compared to the amount for women. At the same time, 5.7 percent of men were delinquent on their mortgage compared to 5.3 percent of women.

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Rising Prices, Shrinking Delinquencies Reduce Future RMBS Losses

As home values improve and servicers continue to ramp up efforts to reduce delinquent pipelines through short sales and loan modifications, the composition of RMBS loan pools outstanding should also improve, according to Moody's most recent ResiLandscape. According to analysts from Moody's, rising home prices motivate current borrowers to avoid default, and they increase the proportion of current loans with loan-to-value (LTV) ratios below 100, which are the loans that are the least likely to go incur losses.

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Existing-Home Sales, Prices Jump to Multiyear Highs

Existing-home sales rose 0.6 percent in April to an annual sales rate of 4.97 million, the highest level since November 2009, the National Association of Realtors reported Wednesday. The median price of an existing single-family home jumped $8,900 in the month to $192,800, the highest since August 2008. The inventory of homes for sale rose to 2.16 million--its highest level since last September. The supply of homes for sale rose to 5.2 months, the highest since October. Inventory has been a persistent concern to NAR, which says the low supply of homes for sale has reduced the number of transactions.

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LPS: Delinquency Rate Slips to Lowest Level Since 2008

Month-end mortgage performance data in April continued to point to a recovery as delinquency and foreclosure rates posted record improvements, Lender Processing Services, Inc. (LPS) reported Wednesday. In April, the delinquency rate sunk below 6.5 percent for the first time since July 2008, according to the data provider. At 6.21 percent, the delinquency rate recorded a month-over-month decrease of 5.81 percent and a year-over-year decline of 9.61 percent. The foreclosure pre-sale inventory rate, which stood at 3.17 percent in April, plunged 24.55 percent from a year ago.

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Report: High Sold-to-List Price Ratio Confirms Bidding War Activity

Last year, some analysts were speculating the large supply of REOs and shadow inventory would keep the market depressed, but instead, the market is dealing with a lack of inventory available for sale, ProTeck Valuation Services noted in its May Home Value Forecast (HVF). ""[I]n reality the shortage of housing inventory has led buyers to bid more competitively against one another leading to significant home price increases and tighter housing conditions,"" said Tom O'Grady, CEO of Pro Teck.

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