Market Studies

Credit conditions may be tight, but for those who do qualify for a new home loan, the cost of borrowing has never been lower. Data released Thursday by Freddie Mac shows the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage edged down to 3.88 percent this week to hit a new all-time low. The 30-year rate has come in below the 4.00 percent mark for seven consecutive weeks now. The 15-year rate edged up just one basis point from its record low to 3.17 percent.

CoreLogic's chief economist Mark Fleming says 2012 may be the year the housing market begins to turn the corner. He notes that housing is an industry with long business cycles. Regional housing recessions typically take three to five years to find their bottom, and the national housing recession has behaved similarly in that it has bounced along a bottom for the past two years. But Fleming says he's seeing some positive indicators - both existing-home sales and single-family housing starts have begun to increase, and affordability is at an all-time high.

Freddie Mac expects a 2 percent to 5 percent increase in home sales in 2012 amid moderate economic growth over the year, according to the GSE's U.S. Economic and Housing Market Outlook for January. Approaching the year with ""cautious optimism,"" Freddie Mac's chief economist Frank Nothaft says there are some positive signs in the job market and consumer confidence levels, and even housing is starting to raise hopes for a continuing, gradual economic recovery.

The overall median sales price of existing homes in Orlando, Florida, was $115,000 in November, up 9.52 percent from a year earlier. The Orlando Regional Realtor Association attributes the gain to an increase in short sales, which are now changing hands with smaller discounts. The number of short sale transactions in November 2011 jumped 39.38 percent compared to November 2010, while the median price of short sales improved by 7.07 percent to $106,000.

The U.S. economy is projected to grow 2.3 percent for the year, according to Fannie Mae's latest outlook. The GSE says growth will be affected by fiscal policies and political uncertainty. The upcoming presidential election, healthcare debate, and sovereign debt crisis in Europe are three wild cards causing concern for Americans. Recent improvements in employment, however, have elevated consumers from their ""summer rut,"" and the housing market is showing some positive indicators.

Wells Fargo & Company ended the year with record earnings in the fourth quarter, reporting a net income of $4.1 billion, up from $3.4 billion in the third quarter. The San Francisco-based bank reported year-end profits of $15.9 billion, demonstrating a 28 percent increase from yearly earnings in 2010. Wells Fargo holds a residential mortgage servicing portfolio totaling $1.8 trillion in value. As of year-end, the balance of loans 90-plus days delinquent stood at $22.4 billion.

A study from the Government Accountability Office (GAO) found that vacant properties rose 51 percent over the span of a decade, from nearly 7 million in 2000 to 10 million in April 2010. Ten states saw vacancies go up by 70 percent or more as a result of high foreclosure rates. The elevated number of vacant homes carries a hefty price tag for lenders that must resume ownership after foreclosure, but GAO says it's local governments that are feeling ""significant"" pressure from the rise in vacant properties.

Despite a decade-long trend making winter the slowest homebuying season for the Las Vegas area, the region saw an increase in existing home sales for the month of December, finishing the year strong enough to break the metro's yearly existing-home sale record from 2009, according to the Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors. The 2009 record was set with the sale of 46,879 homes, and 2011 surpassed this milestone with 48,186 sales. REOs made up 46 percent of December's transactions. Short sales accounted for nearly 27 percent.

The U.S. economy ended 2011 in better standing than earlier in the year, according to the Federal Reserve's polling of key business contacts, economists, and market experts throughout its 12 regional districts. Reporting for the latest Beige Book publication, all 12 districts characterized economic growth as modest to moderate - and that's without the typical recovery model in which housing serves as a primary contributor to economic expansion. Across the board, Fed districts labeled residential real estate activity as ""sluggish.""

The ratings agency Standard & Poor's says investors can cut their losses by basing servicer selection on key performance metrics of default management. The company has come up with a new method to assess residential mortgage servicer performance that looks at how the speed of the servicers' foreclosure processes and the success of their loan modification programs affect investors' losses on nonperforming loans, and S&P says it's found ""significant differences"" among 10 of the largest servicers.