Market Studies

About 2.5 percent of current mortgage balances in the U.S. transitioned into delinquency during the third quarter, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said Monday. That assessment reverses a recent trend of reductions in the measure of newly delinquent mortgage balances, going back to the third quarter of 2010. Some 264,000 individuals had a foreclosure notation added to their credit reports between June 30 and September 30. New bankruptcies over the period tallied 423,000.

Holistic financial counseling -- that which focuses on a borrower's entire financial situation -- can prevent both foreclosures and re-defaults, according to a recent study sponsored by special servicer Outreach Financial Services. Holistic financial counseling can save servicers up to $71.5 million in losses on a portfolio of 10,000 loans, according to the study. When holistic counselors review a borrower's entire financial status, they are generally able to diminish monthly spending by $200 to $300.

Bad real estate loans from the boom years of the last decade have forced 412 FDIC-insured lenders to shutter their operations since the start of 2008. No institution's balance sheet has been fully insulated from the downturn in the real estate markets, but data released by the FDIC suggests lenders are finding their way out of the storm. After rising since 2006, the FDIC's so-called ""Problem List"" of banks at risk of failure has contracted for two quarters in a row. At the same time, money set aside to cover expected loan losses has fallen nearly 50 percent from a year ago.

Data released by Freddie Mac Wednesday shows mortgage interest rates across the board edged lower for the shortened holiday week, with the 30-year fixed rate slipping to its second-lowest reading on record and adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) setting new all-time lows. The 30-year fixed-mortgage rate has averaged at or below 4 percent for four consecutive weeks now. For the week ending November 23, Freddie Mac's study puts it at 3.98 percent. The 5-year ARM is now averaging 2.91 percent, and the 1-year ARM is 2.79 percent.

That ominous shadow inventory of repossessed and soon-to-be repossessed homes is getting smaller. Standard and Poor's (S&P) has released its third-quarter shadow inventory update. The agency says the volume of distressed assets included in its assessment dropped from $405 billion in the second quarter to $384 billion in the third. This figure has been on a steady decline since mid-2010. At current liquidation rates, S&P says it will take 45 months to work through the industry's shadow inventory.

Investors are making up an increasing share of home purchase transactions, especially in the distressed sector, according to an industry report. In October, investor purchases accounted for 22.3 percent of transactions, in keeping with the last three months during which the rate has remained above 20 percent. At the same time, distressed property transactions grew to take up a larger portion of the market. Investors are seeing profit potential in homes that may need repair because rents are steadily rising.

September marked the 20th consecutive month that distressed sales made up more than 20 percent of commercial property sales, according to Moody's/REAL Commercial Property Price Index. The index reported distressed transactions for the month accounted for 25.9 percent of all commercial transactions. While distressed sales were in keeping with recent trends, commercial property prices broke a four-month streak of increases with a 1.4 percent decline in September, according to Moody's.

The third quarter of 2011 saw a net increase of 2,738 mortgage-related jobs, according to recent industry data. This increase is the first recorded in five quarters. The recent increase in refinances encouraged by remarkably low interest rates sparked a demand for loan originators and processors, while continuing high levels of delinquencies and foreclosures bolstered the need for servicing staff. The 2,738 gain compares to a net loss of 464 jobs in the previous quarter and a loss of 936 jobs a year ago.

Sales of previously owned homes got an unexpected boost last month while the number of homes on the market continued to decline, according to data released Monday by the National Association of Realtors. The trade group recorded a 1.4 percent month-over-month increase and a 13.5 percent year-over-year increase for existing-home sales in October. At the same time, housing inventory fell 2.2 percent to 3.33 million existing homes available for sale, which represents an 8.0-month supply. Distressed homes made up 28 percent of October's transactions.

There were 6,298,000 mortgages going unpaid in the United States as of the end of October, according to Lender Processing Services (LPS). It's a daunting number, but the data show that it's actually been on a fairly steady decline for nearly two years now. At the start of 2011, the total number of non-current mortgages in the U.S. stood at 6,870,000. In January 2010, it was 8,118,000. LPS' report indicates mortgage delinquencies are declining while the nation's foreclosure inventory is growing.