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Forbearance Update: How the Trends Are Changing

The total number of loans now in forbearance reached 7.16% of servicers' portfolio volume for the week ending August 30, down slightly from the 7.20% level recorded one week earlier, according to the latest Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Forbearance and Call Volume Survey.

The new survey determined that 3.6 million homeowners are now in forbearance plans. Progress continued to be made on the government-sponsored enterprise front, with the share of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans in forbearance falling for the 13th consecutive week in a row to 4.80%, an 8-basis-point decline, while the forbearance share for portfolio loans and private-label securities (PLS) took a 1 basis point dip to 10.43% and the share of loans in forbearance for depository servicers tumbled 9 basis points to 7.40%.,

However, Ginnie Mae loans in forbearance inched up by 4 basis points for the second consecutive week to 9.62% while the share of loans in forbearance for independent mortgage bank (IMB) servicers was unchanged at 7.41%.

“The share of Ginnie Mae loans in forbearance increased again this week, as the current economic crisis continues to disproportionately impact borrowers with FHA and VA loans,” said Mike Fratantoni, MBA's SVP and Chief Economist. “As a result, IMB servicers, which have roughly one-third of their portfolio with Ginnie Mae, had a forbearance share that was unchanged, while depositories, which have a larger share of GSE and portfolio loans, saw a decrease.”

The MBA also reported that 35.76% of total loans in forbearance are in the initial forbearance plan stage, compared to 63.29% that are in a forbearance extension. The remaining 0.94% were listed as forbearance re-entries.

Total weekly forbearance requests as a percent of servicing portfolio volume was 0.09%. a scant decrease from the 0.10% of the prior week. As a percent of servicing portfolio volume, forbearance-related calls remained unchanged at 7.2% and the average speed to answer increased from 2.2 minutes to 2.4 minutes.

Fratantoni added that the current situation is not expected to dramatically change in the near future.

“The labor market continued to heal in August, with strong job growth and a large decline in the unemployment rate,” he observed. “However, the economy still faces an uphill climb and remains far away from full employment. High unemployment, and jobless claims consistently around 1 million a week, continue to cause financial strain for some borrowers, and especially for those who work in industries hardest hit by the pandemic.”

About Author: Phil Hall

Phil Hall is a former United Nations-based reporter for Fairchild Broadcast News, the author of nine books, the host of the award-winning SoundCloud podcast "The Online Movie Show," co-host of the award-winning WAPJ-FM talk show "Nutmeg Chatter" and a writer with credits in The New York Times, New York Daily News, Hartford Courant, Wired, The Hill's Congress Blog and Profit Confidential. His real estate finance writing has been published in the ABA Banking Journal, Secondary Marketing Executive, Servicing Management, MortgageOrb, Progress in Lending, National Mortgage Professional, Mortgage Professional America, Canadian Mortgage Professional, Mortgage Professional News, Mortgage Broker News and HousingWire.
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