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Delinquency Rate Drops to Record Low

Black Knight Inc. [1] has released a “first look” the latest iteration of its Mortgage Monitor Report [2] for March 2022, which looks at delinquency and foreclosure rates across the U.S. 

According to Black Knight’s data [3], March usually sees the strongest performance of any month; delinquencies typically fall by an average of 10% during the month, but March 2022 saw an “exceptionally strong” 15.5% reduction. The national delinquency rate also dropped by more than half a percentage point in March, falling to 2.84% and shattering the previous record low of 3.22% in January 2020 

Black Knight noted that continued federal student loan deferrals, “robust” employment numbers, record numbers of refinances, and strong post-forbearance numbers all contributed to the record low delinquency rate. 

Among the data, the most improved category was among renters who were a single payment late; this category saw number improve by a margin of 20%. Serious delinquencies (90+ days past due but not in foreclosure) also fell by 12%, marking the biggest month-to-month improvement in 20 years and remains 70% above pre-pandemic levels. 

Despite elevated serious delinquencies, foreclosure starts fell by 3% from the month prior and are holding well below pre-pandemic levels. 

The number of active foreclosures edged slightly higher in March, marking the first year-over-year increase in almost 10 years, though inventories also remain well below pre-pandemic levels. 

Notable statistics from the report include: 

Total U.S. loan delinquency rate (loans 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure): 2.84% 

Month-over-month change: -15.46% 

Year-over-year change: -43.46% 

  

Total U.S. foreclosure pre-sale inventory rate: 0.32% 

Month-over-month change: 3.70% 

Year-over-year change: 3.94% 

  

Total U.S. foreclosure starts: 24,300         

Month-over-month change: -2.80% 

Year-over-year change: 386.00% 

  

Monthly prepayment rate (SMM): 1.22% 

Month-over-month change: 8.76% 

Year-over-year change: -63.54% 

  

Foreclosure sales as % of 90+: 0.42% 

Month-over-month change: 39.01% 

Year-over-year change: 172.90% 

  

Number of properties that are 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure: 1,513,000 

Month-over-month change: -270,000 

Year-over-year change: -1,159,000 

  

Number of properties that are 90 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure: 694,000 

Month-over-month change: -93,000 

Year-over-year change: -1,225,000 

  

Number of properties in foreclosure pre-sale inventory: 169,000 

Month-over-month change: 7,000 

Year-over-year change: 7,00 

  

Number of properties that are 30 or more days past due or in foreclosure: 1,682,000 

Month-over-month change: -264,000 

Year-over-year change: -1,152,000 

Editor's note: This data is a “first look” and is subject to change. According to Black Knight, the full findings of February’s data will be available by May 2, 2022 and will be published here.