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Tag Archives: American Enterprise Institute

Mortgage Risk Rises, Causing Concerns Over Expansion of Credit Access

December's index, which saw about 215,000 new loans added to the pool of risk-rated mortgages, was up 0.4 percentage points from the average for the prior three months and 1.1 percentage points from a year earlier, AEI said. As ever, the largest portion of risk came from the Federal Housing Administration (FHA), which had a risk index of 24.33 percent, up 0.2 percentage points from the prior three-month average. Following that were the Veterans Affairs index, which was at 11.5 percent, and the Fannie/Freddie index, which was 6.2 percent, just above the 6 percent threshold AEI says is "indicative of conditions conducive to a stable market."

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Mortgage Default Risk Index Hits Highest Level in Two Years

November's mortgage default risk index was reported at 11.69 percent, its highest level in two years, according to a briefing released by the American Enterprise Institute's International Center on Housing Risk. The November default risk index crept upward by 0.4 percentage points from October, when it was reported at 11.29 percent.

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Default Risk Drops, Still Above Normal Levels

Loan risk in the agency mortgage market came down slightly in June, but analysts warn that risk levels are still unacceptably high. According to the American Enterprise Institute's latest National Mortgage Risk Index, the share of home purchase loans at risk of going sour in the event of an economic downturn fell nearly half a percentage point last month to 11.44 percent.

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Mortgage Risk Jumps from Increased FHA Loan Volume

The American Enterprise Institute (AEI) put out on Monday a "flash release" of its National Mortgage Risk Index (NMRI), a measure of the likelihood of purchase loan defaults under stressful economic conditions. According to the group, the index climbed last month to 11.89, indicating nearly 12 percent of loans would be at risk of default in the event of another downturn.

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Potential Mortgage Default Risk Remains High

The American Enterprise Institute's (AEI) International Center on Housing Risk released this week its latest National Mortgage Risk Index (NMRI), a measure of likely loan default rates in the event of another economic crisis. For its March data, the group calculated that under stress, 11.5 percent of recent home purchase mortgages would default, just down from 11.6 percent in February.

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Mortgage Default Risk Falls in February

The American Enterprise Institute’s (AEI) National Mortgage Risk Index (NMRI), a measure of loans' default risk under stressful conditions, retreated to 11.6 percent last month from January’s reading of 11.8 percent. To gauge where February’s index lies historically, 1990 vintage loans would have an estimated index value of 6 percent, while riskier 2007 loans would be up at 19 percent.

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Qualified Mortgage Guidelines Haven’t Lowered Risk

A new report by the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) says mortgage risk remains unaffected by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s (CFPB) qualified mortgage (QM) guidelines. The group’s National Mortgage Risk Index (NMRI), a measure of loan performance under stressful economic conditions, increased to a reading of 11.8 percent in January from 10.6 percent at the end of 2013.

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