Tag Archives: Home Prices

With an estimated 250,000 foreclosed homes on Fannie Mae's and Freddie Mac's books, the government is considering inventive ways to divulge excess inventory and return stability to the housing market. The administration sent out a request for information (RFI) in August asking how a government REO rental program might work. The industry has responded with enthusiasm, submitting a slew of proposals now under consideration. Suggestions include lease-to-own options, rent-and-hold, and joint profit sharing.

A new quarterly survey of bank risk professionals from FICO paints a decidedly pessimistic picture of housing's future. The company describes its latest results as a reversal of the growing optimism seen in late 2010 and early 2011. The survey shows that bankers expect mortgage defaults and foreclosures to remain elevated for at least five more years, and housing prices nationally to hold below the pre-crisis levels of 2007 until the year 2020.

Even with a seasonal uptick in the month of July, home prices are falling short of their levels a year earlier, according to data released Tuesday morning by Standard & Poor's. Both the 20-city and 10-city composite readings of the S&P/Case-Shiller index rose 0.9 percent between June and July, but were down 4.1 percent and 3.7 percent, respectively, when compared to July 2010. Washington, D.C. and Detroit were the only metropolitan areas to buck the annual trend.

Processing delays have taken their toll on first-time homebuyer interest in short sales, according to the latest HousingPulse Tracking Survey released Monday. First-time homebuyers were a part of 39.7 percent of the short sale transactions completed in August. That's the lowest percentage for this buyer segment ever recorded by the survey. The study found that the average time-on-market for short sales is 16.6 weeks, with the majority of that time spent waiting for approval.

Home prices rose 0.8 percent between June and July, marking the fourth consecutive monthly increase, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) said Thursday. That string of gains is coming off a streak of declines that was three times as long. Prior to April, FHFA's index had been on a slippery downward slope for 12 straight months. FHFA's numbers are calculated using sales price information from mortgages acquired by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Home prices are expected to grow at an average annual rate of just 1.1 percent through 2015, according to a survey released Wednesday by the research firm MacroMarkets. The company polled 111 individuals, ranging from economists and real estate experts to investment and market strategists. In addition to documenting home price projections, the survey asked respondents about the government's role in the housing market. Half say further government intervention is ""unnecessary.""

Last month's 18.6 percent surge in existing-home sales from a year earlier had some market observers doing a double-take, but Galen Ward, who runs a real estate brokerage web site, says it wasn't unexpected. Michael Simonsen of Altos Research says anything is going to look good coming off the market's tax-credit hangover this time last year. But the fact that the median home price was down more than 5 percent from August 2010 at the same time sales jumped so sharply is one of the most telling stats for Clear Capital's Alex Villacorta.

Wall Street has long struggled with indexing and analyzing real estate as an international investment, according to Winans International, a California-based investment advisor and research firm. Winans International's market researchers Ken Winans and Dr. Bryan Taylor tackled the problem by gathering the data from 36 countries and developing an approach to combine these global studies of home prices into a single data set, tracking housing prices since 1975.

The state of California is cashing in on the last days of the traditional homebuying season, with sales soaring in August and the median home price touching on its highest reading of the year. The California Association of Realtors puts last month's median price point at a level not seen since last December, and home sales up more than 10 percent from last year. At the same time, unsold housing inventory statewide has declined to five-months' supply.

At a Senate hearing titled, ""New Ideas to Address the Glut of Foreclosed Properties,"" industry experts shared varying opinions on the concept of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac conducting bulk sales of REOs to investors, but most agreed that long-term investors from the private sector should be part of the solution. One analyst with Amherst Securities says investors are the only potential buyers for many distressed homes likely to hit the market over the next five to six years.