Tag Archives: Home Prices

Backlogged foreclosures, severe oversupply, and negative equity are pulling home prices down further, according to Radar Logic. The company tracks 25 major metropolitan areas across the country. Its latest index recorded a decline in the composite reading of 5.1 percent in April when compared to April 2010. The monthly sales rate remained more than 9 percent below April 2010. While sales of non-foreclosed homes increased more quickly than sales of foreclosed homes, RadarLogic says foreclosures are selling at an average discount of 39 percent.

After the headline news that home prices double-dipped, forecasters are predicting a 2011 turning point for the U.S. housing market, according to the investment and risk management firm MacroMarkets. The company polled 108 economists and real estate experts this month to gauge their predictions. Nearly two-thirds believe the bottom for home prices arrived in the first quarter or will arrive sometime before year-end. The consensus, though, is that we should not be expecting a rebound in home values, but rather a level of price stability.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says its all the distress in the housing sector that's pulling home prices and consumer confidence down and keeping buyers away from the market, despite the fact that the Fed's bond-buying program has succeeded in keeping interest rates low and housing affordable. Bernanke says he'd like to see more efforts to modify loans, but when that's not appropriate, the industry needs to speed up the process of foreclosure and disposition to clear the market.

Home prices in the U.S. rose in April for the first time since last spring, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) reported Wednesday. The agency's House Price Index recorded a 0.8 percent seasonally adjusted increase between March and April - the first month-over-month gain since May 2010. The index is calculated using purchase prices of houses backing mortgages that have been sold to or guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Distressed properties accounted for just 31 percent of existing-home sales in May, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported Tuesday. The ratio of distressed homes - typically bank-owned or pre-foreclosure short sales - was down from 37 percent in April and 40 percent in March. A pick-up in non-distressed sales volume is typical for the spring and summer seasons, but last month, overall sales of previously owned homes dropped along with the distressed percentage to hit a six-month low.

Markets across the country are in full-fledged correction mode. That combined with the prevalence of foreclosures has analysts at the research firm Capital Economics convinced that the double dip in home prices will continue throughout this year. In fact, they say the structural factors that are constraining demand, such as higher down payment requirements, probably mean that prices won't rise consistently until 2014. Capital Economics expects up to three million foreclosed homes to make their way to the market over the next few years.

John Burns Real Estate Consulting released a housing report card Thursday that confirms most key market indicators trending southerly, signaling more distress may be in store. The research firm notes that annual resale activity within the existing-home market has slipped to just over 5 million residences, and home prices by some measurements have dropped to 2002 levels. With these numbers, the firm says, affordability has never been better for entry-level buyers, or worse for move-up and move-down buyers.

According to Freddie Mac's latest market outlook, over the first four months of 2011, sales of existing homes are up 5 percent from the pace of 2010 - in line with the GSE's earlier projections of a 5 percent annual increase in existing-home sales this year. Regardless, Freddie's economists say going forward, their forecast for sales growth remains dampened by declining consumer confidence and economic uncertainty. They point out that news of still-falling home prices has potential homebuyers waiting for a clear signal that home values have firmed.

The nation's Capitol stands out as the ""shining star"" in nearly every market report that crosses the wire. Washington, D.C. has consistently resisted home price declines, sales activity bucks widespread trends, and foreclosure numbers, too, have been almost non-existent due to an unofficial moratorium. Is it the absence of foreclosure property that's behind D.C.'s defiant market performance and will it turn now that emergency mediation rules have been enacted to restart foreclosures? Local experts say no, D.C. is just a market to itself.

Prospective homebuyers cite worries about unemployment, property affordability, and the economy as issues that hold them back from jumping into the market, according to an industry survey commissioned by Genworth. But the mortgage insurer says these economic concerns have not translated into excessive mortgage stress among recent U.S. homebuyers. According to the survey, 87 percent of Americans who bought their first home in the past 12 months expect to easily meet their mortgage payment obligations in the coming year.