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Tag Archives: Housing Supply

CoreLogic: Best Markets for Single-Family Rental Investments

Single-family rental investing is a $3 trillion market, according to a CoreLogic’s MarketPulse report, which further stated that the single-family rental market accounts for $21 million rental units, or 52 percent of the residential rental market. With reports showing rental prices have gone up and home prices have decreased, it's no surprise that large investors have shown interest in buying up single-family homes at a discount to convert them to rental units. Based on the 26 major markets CoreLogic assessed, the markets that yield the highest single-family rental cap rates were generally in Florida or the Midwest.

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Spring Outlook: Reports From the Field Suggest Better Days Ahead

Despite the fact that key market indicators released in recent weeks have shown declines in home sales, anecdotal reports from real estate agents in the field suggest better days are ahead for the industry, according to commentary released Monday by the economic team at Wells Fargo Securities. Most agents are reporting ""significant gains in buyer interest and sales,"" and as a result, Wells' economists have nudged their forecast for home sales slightly higher. They are expecting sales of existing homes to top out at 4.50 million in 2012 and rise to 4.65 million in 2013.

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Forecasting Home Price Recovery: Turnover Rate as a Powerful Indicator

Home prices in many areas are already rebounding from the bottom of the market, according to the March HomeValueForecast.com update from Pro Teck Valuation Services. This month, the company explores the turnover rate, which is the number of non-distressed sales divided by the total housing stock in a particular market. Pro Teck says this calculation is one of the most powerful and, yet, simplest leading indicators of the future direction of home prices, with the turnover rate hitting bottom six to 18 months before the bottom in home prices.

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CoreLogic: Number of Completed Foreclosures Down for February

The number of completed foreclosures in February 2012 was down on a monthly basis and slightly on a year-over-year comparison, but overall, foreclosure inventory has decreased compared to a year ago, according to CoreLogic's National Foreclosure report for February. In February 2012, 65,000 completed foreclosures were reported, compared to 66,000 in February 2011, and 71,000 in January 2012. The number of completed foreclosures over 12 months ending in February was 862,000. From the start of the financial crisis in September 2008, CoreLogic estimates 3.4 million completed foreclosures.

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Experts Expect to See Broad Improvements, Home Prices to Rise in 2013

The Urban Land Institute released its Real Estate Consensus Forecast Wednesday morning, and overall, the 38 real estate economists and analysts surveyed project broad improvements for the economy. With signs of improvement in the housing sector already emerging, participants expect to see housing starts nearly double by 2014, and project home prices will begin to rise in 2013. The average home price, which has declined somewhere between 1.8 percent and 4.1 percent over each of the past three years, according to FHFA data, is expected to stabilize in 2012, followed by a 2 percent increase in 2013, and a 3.5 percent increase in 2014.

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Single-Family Starts Plunge, Permits and Completions Increase

Housing starts fell 1.1 percent in February to 698,000, compared with market expectations for a smaller decline, the Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development reported jointly Tuesday. Single family starts plunged 9.9 percent to 457,000, the steepest decline in a year.

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FHFA Criticized for Arguments Used Against Principal Reduction

The FHFA's decision to not allow for principal reductions on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans came under sharp criticism during a Senate subcommittee hearing Thursday. John DiIorio, CEO of 1st Alliance Lending, a mortgage origination firm, argued in support of principal reduction, even when analyzing the benefits from a bottom-line perspective, not simply as a form of aid. Laurie Goodman, senior managing director of Amherst Securities, said there were a number of flaws in an FHFA study used to defend the decision to not apply principal forgiveness, and discussed three major criticisms and ""technical flaws.""

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Zillow report: Median Rent Prices on the Rise as Home Values Drop

While homes prices continue to be on the decline, rent prices are actually on the rise and showed a 3 percent increase from January 2011 to January 2012, as opposed to home values, which dropped 4.6 percent during that same period, according to the January Zillow Real Estate Market Reports. Zillow data also showed year-over-year gains for 69.2 percent of metropolitan areas covered by the index while only 7.3 percent of metros saw increases in home values. Based on the Zillow Rent Index, the states with the greatest increases in median rent over a year were New Jersey (+16.5), New York (+13.7), Kansas (+10.2), Indiana (+10), and Michigan (+10.0).

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Pending Home Sales Index Up in January, Reaching 20-Month High

The pending home sales index (PHSI) rose in January to 97.0 from a downwardly revised 95.1 in December. At 97.0, the index is at its highest level since April 2011, the National Association of Realtors reported Monday. The index rose for the third time in the last four months and the January reading was 8 percent above January 2011 levels, but 26.5 percent below the April 2005 peak. The index began in January 2005. The PHSI has been trending upward, albeit modestly for most of the past two years. Despite the 20-month high, the index is relatively subdued.

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Nearly 1 in 4 Households Use Over 1/2 of Income for Housing Costs

Even with falling home prices, a study from the Center for Housing Policy found affordability is becoming increasingly out of reach for homeowners and renters. According to the Center's report, the share of working households paying more than half their income for housing between 2008 and 2010 went up from 21.8 percent to 23.6 percent. As home prices dropped between 2008 and 2010, working homeowners also dealt with shrinking paychecks as incomes dropped twice as much as housing costs over the two-year period.

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