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Tag Archives: Lawrence Yun

Another Recession Around the Corner?

Based on the signs of a slowdown in the current housing market, experts analyzed the possibility of another economic downtown and the consequences thereafter. Here’s what they had to say.

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Economist: Declining Shadow Inventory Will Not Help Country’s Short Housing Supply

The thin shadow inventory compared with rising home values has caused the share of distressed home sales to drop to single digits. Since there will be fewer properties sold at deep discounts, this will cause home prices to strengthen, Yun said. "It also means that those practitioners who specialize in foreclosures or short-sales need to start thinking about a change in business models to normal home buyers and normal positive-equity home sellers," Yun wrote on the blog.

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Job Growth Outpacing New Home Construction

Annualized housing starts crossed the 1 million mark in April for the first time this year, but little of that improvement came on the single-family side—and that's a serious problem, says the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Measuring new homebuilding against employment numbers—which only recently recovered from their recessionary decline—NAR finds that historically, there is one new home built for every 1.5 jobs added to the economy.

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