Tag Archives: Mark Lieberman

First-time claims for unemployment insurance jumped 20,000 to 362,000 for the week ending February 16, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Economists expected 359,000 initial unemployment claims.

Housing starts plunged 8.5 percent in January--the steepest drop in two years--to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 890,000, the Census Bureau and HUD reported jointly Wednesday. Applications for residential permits rose 1.8 percent to a rate of 925,000, the highest level since June 2008. Economists had expected start activity to drop to 914,000 in January from the initial report for December of 954,000 starts. Permits, according to the consensus forecast, were expected to increase to 920,000 from the original report of 903,000 in December.

Led by a sharp drop in the South, builder confidence slipped in February to 46, the lowest level since November, the National Association of Home Builders reported Tuesday. Economists had expected the Housing Market Index (HMI), a measure of confidence, would improve to 48 from January's reading of 47. The national index has stalled since reaching an 80-month high of 47 in December.

President Obama faces a budget obstacle in his plans to rebuild crumbling bridges and address other pressing infrastructure needs. Unlike many governments, the United States does not have a separate budget for capital spending, which means each tax dollar is as likely to go to the construction of, say, a courthouse, as it is to paying the salary of a judge or court clerk who works there. What would having a separate capital budget do for the country? For starters, it would rationalize our spending and make it more difficult for lawmakers to lard up spending bills with long-term projects.

Bolstered by favorable seasonal adjustment factors, first-time claims for unemployment insurance dropped 27,000 to 341,000 for the week ending February 9, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Economists expected a much smaller decline to 360,000. Initial claims were under 350,000--a dividing line between a strong and weak labor market--for the third time in the last five weeks, hinting layoff activity has returned to normal.

First time claims for unemployment insurance continued to move sideways, dropping 5,000 to 366,000 for the week ended February 2, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Economists expected a larger decline to 360,000 from the prior week’s 330,000 initial claims.

The percentage of banks reporting stronger demand for mortgage loans dropped in the first quarter from the fourth quarter last year, the Federal Reserve reported Monday and a slightly greater percentage are lending standards. The results in the quarterly Senior Loan Officers Opinion Survey are consistent with anecdotal reports that mortgage loans are becoming easier to obtain. In the case of ""traditional"" mortgage loans, 1.5 percent of respondents reported ""somewhat"" tighter standings, 4.6 percent reported standards easing somewhat, and 1.5 percent reported standards easing considerably.

So, there's some sort of football game this weekend. Like many economists, I’m a bigger baseball fan than football, intrigued by the statistics in baseball, statistically a zero-sum game unlike most other sports. Just about every positive statistic in baseball for one player has a corresponding negative statistic for another.

If businesses had any reluctance to hire in December because of fiscal cliff concerns, they didn't make up for it in January: Payrolls expanded by 157,000, down from December, but the unemployment rate moved to 7.9 percent from 7.8 percent a month earlier, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported Friday. Job growth for December, originally reported at 155,000, was revised upward to 196,000. November's growth was revised to 247,000 from 161,000.

Personal income jumped a staggering 2.6 percent in December, almost four times the 0.7 increase economists forecast, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported Thursday. Personal consumption spending rose 0.2 percent, slightly below the expected 0.3 percent increase. The sharp December gain came from special dividends paid by many companies in anticipation of changes in individual income tax rates, which were tied into negotiations to avoid the ""fiscal cliff.""