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Home | Tag Archives: Moody’s

Tag Archives: Moody’s

Slow Household Formation Cyclical Like All Things Real Estate: Moody’s

Though the slow rate of household formation among millenials--those born after 1980--has been cause for alarm among some economists, analysts at Moody's Investors Service say reports of a lost generation of homebuyers are overblown. The Census Bureau released its homeownership rate report for the third quarter in early November, revealing homeownership in the 35 and younger age group is growing at a sluggish pace, with 31.6 percent still living with their parents.

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Should Servicers Report Principal Forbearance Losses Now or Later?

Principal forbearance, a loan modification practice in which a loan servicer allows a borrower to delay payment on his/her loan for a specified period of time, apparently poses an accounting conundrum. While some servicers report forborne principal as a loss at the time of the loan modification, others wait until the time of liquidation. Ocwen, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and One West all report forbearance amounts as losses at the time of the loan modification.

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Rising Prices, Shrinking Delinquencies Reduce Future RMBS Losses

As home values improve and servicers continue to ramp up efforts to reduce delinquent pipelines through short sales and loan modifications, the composition of RMBS loan pools outstanding should also improve, according to Moody's most recent ResiLandscape. According to analysts from Moody's, rising home prices motivate current borrowers to avoid default, and they increase the proportion of current loans with loan-to-value (LTV) ratios below 100, which are the loans that are the least likely to go incur losses.

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Moody’s: Home Prices to Increase, Loss Severities to Remain High

Home prices will increase over the next three years as the economy expands and servicers work through their distressed inventories, according to a report from Moody's Analytics. Home prices will rise about 4.2 percent between the fourth quarter of last year and the fourth quarter of 2015, Moody's projected. The firm also anticipates foreclosures will have less of a hold on home prices in years to come as ""fundamentals that normally drive house prices"" come back into play, including ""job growth, demographics, affordability, and supply conditions.""

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Report: Commercial Real Estate Prices Increase in February

According to data from Moody's Analytics and RCA, Commercial real estate (CRE) prices ticked up slightly in February. The Commercial Property Price Indices (CPPI) national all-property composite index increased 0.5 percent in February from the January price level, Moody&'s revealed in a release. The index's two components--apartment and core commercial--increased by 1.3 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively, for the month.

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Foreclosure Timelines Are Lengthening

Foreclosure timelines are getting longer, according to recent reports from Moody's Investors Service and RealtyTrac. In addition to this trend, Moody's highlighted the importance of net present value (NPV) models in the loss mitigation process for residential mortgage-backed securities. Foreclosure timelines increased for all servicers in the fourth quarter, Moody's reported. RealtyTrac also found the average time to foreclose went up in 39 states in the first quarter of this year compared to the previous quarter.

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Moody’s Expresses Concerns Over Weak RMBS

As Moody's rates residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in post-crisis years, the firm continues to harbor some concerns about the strength of some loan pools. ""The decline of the US housing market that led to investor losses exposed limitations and flaws in many aspects of the RMBS framework,"" Moody's Investors Service stated in a report authored by VPs Kathy Kelbaugh and Yehudah Forster.

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Commercial Property Prices on the Rise, with Boston Leading Metros

In September, prices for commercial real estate increased 1.4 percent from August and 6.9 percent from a year ago, according to Moody's Investors Service's national all-property composite. The composite's components consist of the apartment and core commercial sectors. Compared to the January 2010 trough, commercial real estate prices were 28 percent higher, but prices still remain 21.8 percent below the December 2007 peak. Boston and New York led with the biggest yearly gains in commercial real estate out of six major metro areas measured.

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Key Risks for Single-Family Rental Securities: Moody’s

A surplus of REO inventory from financial institutions, demand for single-family rentals, tight lending standards - these are just a few reasons interest has developed for securities backed by cash flows from single-family rental properties. While interest has formed for good reasons, there are still risks involved. In a recent report, Moody's Investors Service highlighted two key factors that can be used to determine credit risk for such transactions: Performance of an operator or manager and the variability of the cash flow from rentals and property dispositions.

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