Government

With July approaching its last week, economists at Fannie Mae are maintaining their forecast for greater economic growth in the second half of 2013. In its latest Economic and Housing Outlook, Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research Group points to steady year-to-date job creation, high consumer confidence, and positive housing data as proof the economy is on a positive, though modest, growth path.

Representative John Campbell (R-CA) reintroduced a bill last week to limit potential harm to taxpayers and retirees if city and county governments were to use the power of eminent domain to take over underwater mortgages. To protect taxpayers, the bill proposes to prevent the GSEs from purchasing mortgage loans originating in counties that applied eminent domain to seize underwater mortgages within the past 10 years.

The rate of performing borrowers who rolled into delinquency status decreased in the second quarter, Fitch Ratings reported Monday. New delinquency roll rates showed stronger performance across all categories (subprime, Alta-A, and prime), with non-agency roll rates hitting their lowest level since early 2007. Overall, Fitch's delinquency roll rate index fell to 2 percent in the second quarter of this year, down from 2.4 percent in the previous quarter and down from 2.2 percent a year ago.

Existing-home sales fell 1.2 percent in June to an annual sales rate of 5.08 million as the price of a single-family home rose 13.5 percent from a year earlier--the strongest year-over-year gain since November 2005, the National Association of Realtors reported Monday. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expected existing-home sales to jump to 5.27 million from May's originally reported sales pace of 5.18 million. The median price of an existing home rose $11,100 or 5.5 percent for the month to $214,200, the highest price since June 2008.

The nation's home builders celebrated Tuesday with the release of July's Housing Market Index, which showed a six-point jump in the measure of builder confidence on the heels of a seven-point jump one month earlier. In the last three months, confidence--as measured by the index--is up 16 points, or almost 40 percent. With giddy numbers like these, one would think builders would rush to break ground--or at least file the paperwork to do so, but they're not.

Distressed property sales have declined drastically in California over the last year, according to a recent report from PropertyRadar. In June, sales for distressed homes and condominiums plunged 46.5 percent year-over-year in June. On the other hand, non-distressed property sales shot up by 31.3 percent during the same time period. Government intervention is the main driving force behind the declines in distressed property sales, according to the report authored by Madeline Schnapp, director of economics research at the firm.

The First Title Radio Show debuted on May 31 and has aired seven episodes so far. In that time, host Doug Dennison--a radio, real estate, and government auction expert--has interviewed more than 15 real estate professionals, including representatives from Sperry Van Ness, Florida Keys Real Estate, Rowell Auctions, Inc., and the Five Star Institute.

According to Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey, the average 30-year fixed rate was 4.37 percent (0.7 point) for the week ending July 18, down from 4.51 percent last week. Last year at this time, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.53 percent. ""Fixed mortgage rates fell as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Bernanke helped ease market concerns about the Fed reducing its bond purchases,"" said Freddie Mac chief economist Frank Nothaft, referencing remarks Bernanke made earlier in the month.

For several markets across the country, strong home price growth is also attached to a double-digit unemployment rate, leading Fitch Ratings to view the strong price appreciation as unsustainable. In a recent report, Fitch highlighted seven metro areas where high unemployment rates were in the backdrop of annual double-digit home price gains. The top two were Detroit and Las Vegas, while the remaining five were in California: Sacramento, Stockton, Los Angeles, Bakersfield, and Riverside.

One week after spiking to a two-month high, first-time claims for unemployment insurance dropped 24,000 to 334,000 for the week ending July 13--the lowest level in 10 weeks, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Economists expected the number of claims to drop to 344,000 from the 360,000 originally reported for the week ending July 6. The number of filings for that week was revised down to 358,000.