Loss Mitigation

A new quarterly survey of bank risk professionals from FICO paints a decidedly pessimistic picture of housing's future. The company describes its latest results as a reversal of the growing optimism seen in late 2010 and early 2011. The survey shows that bankers expect mortgage defaults and foreclosures to remain elevated for at least five more years, and housing prices nationally to hold below the pre-crisis levels of 2007 until the year 2020.

If all of Fannie Mae's and Freddie Mac's borrowers paying interest rates that are higher than the median rate were to refinance at 4 percent, the savings would total $63 billion. While such an option would not bring the total $63 billion in savings to fruition, Moody's chief economist, Mark Zandi, says ""even a fraction would be a big plus."" According to Zandi, the single most effective policy move for the housing market would be to facilitate more mortgage refinancing.

Mortgage servicer Residential Credit Solutions (RCS) stands out from the crowd in today's world of almost commonplace ratings downgrades and default servicing challenges. RCS has been awarded two upgrades from Fitch of its primary servicer rating for subprime products and its special servicing rating. Fitch said the rating actions reflect the company's 'high touch' servicing approach, competitive performance metrics, and effective default and foreclosure practices.

One in three Americans would be unable to make their mortgage or rent payment beyond one month if they lost their job, according to the results of a national survey taken in mid-September. Job loss has become the primary driver of mortgage defaults. With the state of the labor market posing one of the biggest obstacles for struggling homeowners and their lenders, a number of programs at both the national and state level have been launched to assist unemployed homeowners, but so far the expected results haven't materialized.

As delinquencies and impending foreclosures rose, New England states responded with foreclosure prevention programs, generally falling into one of two categories: foreclosure mediation and financial assistance. The Federal Reserve Bank of Boston examined these efforts to determine ways other states can learn from them. Five of the six New England states have their own mediation programs, and Massachusetts created a program allowing negotiation without a mediator.

MasterServ Financial, Inc., a new provider of portfolio monitoring, analysis, and management tools and services, has named veterans from the mortgage lending industry to its management team. Led by CEO and Big Four consulting veteran John Iatesta, the MasterServ Financial team is tasked with leveraging the company's technology resources and a customer list that includes the likes of HUD and Ginnie Mae to improve portfolio performance and asset quality for private sector financial services organizations and the GSEs.

Data released Thursday by a federal banking regulator provides a snapshot of mortgage performance over the second quarter of this year. Both early stage and serious delinquencies increased slightly compared to the previous three-month period, as did completed foreclosures, while new modification actions fell nearly 20 percent. Perhaps the most troubling result in the report is post-modification performance. Of loans modified since the beginning of 2008, nearly half have since gone delinquent.

The delinquency rate on loans held in U.S. commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) fell 23 basis points in August to 9.01 percent, according to Moody's Investors Service. Even with a slip in the numbers, Moody's notes that August was the eighth consecutive month that delinquencies have been above the 9 percent mark. The resolutions of delinquent loans continued to exceed new delinquencies last month, with $4.1 billion in resolutions versus $2.6 billion in newly delinquent CMBS loans.

Wells Fargo says it will increase its commitment to credit counseling nonprofits by $5.4 million to a total of $12.4 million in 2011 - a 35 percent increase over the $9.2 million in 2010 - for national and local credit counseling agencies. The company notes that public funding for credit counseling is becoming more scarce, while demand for such services is growing. Wells Fargo's $5.4 million in new commitments this year will be provided in the form of grant money directly to nonprofit agencies and support foreclosure prevention counseling services and training.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) is seeking public comment on two new compensation structures for mortgage servicing. The agency says the current model was not designed for today's market conditions. After meetings and discussions with various stakeholders, FHFA has put forth two alternatives. One proposal would establish a reserve account within the current servicing compensation structure. The other proposal would create a new ""Fee for Service"" model.