Market Studies

Depending on whether the data was based on a judicial or non-judicial state, foreclosure activity told differing stories in RealtyTrac's Foreclosure Market Report released today for February 2012. When clumping states together based on foreclosure processes, February foreclosure activity in the 26 judicial states increased 24 percent from February 2011 and 2 percent from the previous month of January. For the 24 non-judicial states, the numbers moved in near opposite directions, with foreclosure activity decreased to 23 percent from February 2011 and down 5 percent from January, according to a RealtyTrac release.

If extremely severe economic conditions were to fall upon the U.S., 15 of the 19 banks tested by the Fed's stress scenario projections are said to be able to survive and continue to lend. The hypothetical stressful scenario included a 13 percent unemployment rate, 50 percent decline in equity prices, and a 20 percent decline in home prices. The scenario covers nine quarters into the fourth quarter of 2013, and the four banks that failed - Ally Financial, Citigroup, SunTrust, and MetLife - were said to have one or more projected regulatory capital ratios that fell below the 5 percent minimum levels at some point over the stress scenario horizon, according to the Fed.

While homes prices continue to be on the decline, rent prices are actually on the rise and showed a 3 percent increase from January 2011 to January 2012, as opposed to home values, which dropped 4.6 percent during that same period, according to the January Zillow Real Estate Market Reports. Zillow data also showed year-over-year gains for 69.2 percent of metropolitan areas covered by the index while only 7.3 percent of metros saw increases in home values. Based on the Zillow Rent Index, the states with the greatest increases in median rent over a year were New Jersey (+16.5), New York (+13.7), Kansas (+10.2), Indiana (+10), and Michigan (+10.0).

For West coast states, the foreclosure wave is reported to be dying down as third parties, who are typically investors, snatch up foreclosed homes, according to the February 2012 Foreclosure RadarReport. While third party sales were down month-over-month, as a percentage of all sales, third parties purchased 37.6 percent of foreclosures. Compared to the year before, foreclosure sales to third parties increased 84.62 percent in Oregon, 61.33 percent in Nevada, 39.72 percent in California, 23.31 percent in Arizona, and 7.35 percent for Washington.

With Hispanics as the largest minority group in the U.S., mortgage industry professionals should also expect Latinos to be key players when it comes to America's home buying future, according to the 2011 State of Hispanic Homeownership report released by the National Association of Hispanic Real Estate Professionals. According to the report, 34 percent of Hispanics said they are likely to buy a home in the next three years, compared to 24 percent of all Americans.

Increasing struggles for office properties, most notably in Atlanta, overshadowed what was otherwise a flat February for delinquencies among loans held in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), according to the latest index results from Fitch Ratings. By the agency's assessment, CMBS late-pays fell two basis points last month to 8.30 percent. The decline was led by a large hotel loan - Innkeepers - that was brought current. Fitch's delinquency index includes 2,536 loans totaling $32.6 billion.

Freddie Mac reported a gain in the fourth quarter and less losses overall for the year 2011 compared to the previous year, according to the GSE's fourth quarter and year 2011 report released today. Freddie Mac reported a net income of $619 million for the 2011 fourth quarter. During the third quarter ending September 30, 2011, a net loss of $4.4 billion was reported. Freddie Mac will request $146 million from the U.S. Treasury for the company's fourth quarter net worth deficit.

The nation added 227,000 jobs in February - the seventh straight month of 100,000-plus payroll gains, the longest such string since 2005 - as the unemployment rate held steady at 8.3 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. Economists had anticipated about 210,000 new jobs and a slight uptick in the unemployment rate. The strong report continued a positive trend with just a smattering of weak spots: retail employment dropped slightly and construction jobs declined, hinting that gains in construction in recent months were related to mild weather.

Record high-levels of homebuyer affordability continues as rates drop and stay near their 60-year lows, according to Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey. The 15-year fixed, hit an all-time record low of 3.13 percent. Aside from the 1-year ARM, all rates saw a decrease. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.88 percent (0.8 point) for the week ending March 8, a decreased compared to last week's average of 3.90 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year rate averaged 4.88 percent. The 5-year ARM decreased at 2.81 percent (0.7 point). Last week it averaged 2.83 percent and 3.73 percent a year ago at this time.

First time claims for unemployment insurance rose 8,000 in the week ended March 2, the Labor Department reported today, the third straight weekly increase after revisions to earlier data. Continuing claims, reported on a one-week lag, increase 10,000 to 3,416,000, the second straight weekly increase.