Tag Archives: Delinquency Rate

One in 10 residential mortgages in New York City is more than 90 days delinquent or in foreclosure, according to an analysis conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The study also revealed that the ratio of New York City borrowers at least three months behind on their payments, but not in foreclosure, has improved from 5.4 percent in February 2010 to 3.8 percent as of March 2011. Mortgage performance statistics were also released for Long Island and Hudson Valley.

The nation's second largest mortgage company has again reported a decline in the percentage of loans it holds that are 90 or more days past due and in foreclosure. Freddie Mac says its serious delinquency rate for single-family mortgages dropped to 3.53 percent in May. That's down four basis points from 3.57 percent the month before and down 53 basis points from 4.06 percent in May 2010. May's rate was the lowest it's been since September of 2009.

The phenomenon of strategic default has become a growing concern within the industry, but a new ""Market Insight Snapshot"" released by Experian Thursday suggests the percentage of mortgage defaults involving borrowers who decided to simply throw in the towel is trending downward. Since strategic defaults hit 20 percent of all mortgages 60-plus days delinquent in the fourth quarter of 2008, they've come in below that mark ever since, according to the study. By mid-2010, the share of intentional walk-aways was 17 percent.

The shadow inventory of repossessed and soon-to-be repossessed homes not yet visible to the market has been trimmed, according to CoreLogic. The company reports that as of April 2011, the industry's shadow supply fell to 1.7 million units, down from 1.9 million a year earlier. CoreLogic attributes the decline to fewer new delinquencies and a high level of distressed sales, which has helped to reduce the deluge of foreclosure properties on a market already beset by a supply and demand imbalance.

Data released by Lender Processing Services (LPS) Tuesday puts the number of home mortgages that are delinquent or in foreclosure at 6,350,000. The company's assessment is based on mortgage performance statistics derived from its loan-level database through the end of the month of May. In April, LPS reported that there were 6,388,000 mortgages going unpaid. The month-over-month decline can be attributed to both a decrease in the national delinquency rate and a drop in foreclosure inventories.

The delinquency rate on loans included in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) fell four basis points in May to 9.18 percent, according to Moody's. The dollar balance of past due loans was approximately $56 billion. While loans totaling $3.4 billion became newly delinquent, previously delinquent loans totaling $4.1 billion became current, worked out, or were disposed. The top 25 metros continue to outperform the broader market with a delinquency rate of 8.48 percent, 70 basis points below the national average.

Markets across the country are in full-fledged correction mode. That combined with the prevalence of foreclosures has analysts at the research firm Capital Economics convinced that the double dip in home prices will continue throughout this year. In fact, they say the structural factors that are constraining demand, such as higher down payment requirements, probably mean that prices won't rise consistently until 2014. Capital Economics expects up to three million foreclosed homes to make their way to the market over the next few years.

Delinquencies on U.S. commercial real estate loan collateralized debt obligations (CREL CDOs) decreased last month, reversing the previous month's increase, according to the latest index results from Fitch Ratings. From March to April, the delinquency rate rose from 14.1 percent to 14.8 percent. But by the end of May, Fitch says it had fallen back to 14.1 percent. Last month's late-pays dropped as nine new delinquencies were offset by the resolution of 18 formerly delinquent assets.

Experts blame the massive inventory of existing homes on the market for hindering the housing sector's recovery. The overhang has been inflated by large volumes of foreclosures, and it's expected to grow with millions more coming down the pipeline. One economist says it will take 6.5 million new household formations to absorb the excess inventory. He expects it will take five years to achieve that goal and emerge from the self-defeating cycle of oversupply pushing prices down, the negative equity triggering defaults, and in turn, further increasing the oversupply.

Underwater borrowers have become a focus of numerous industry surveys and analyses, and a growing concern for market participants due to the potential of negative equity to trigger default. A recent study by CoreLogic delved deeper into the statistics to examine the distribution of negative equity by default status. Aggregate negative equity among mortgage borrowers was $750 billion as of the end of last year. CoreLogic says 8 percent of that total balance involved mortgages that were in foreclosure.