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Navigating the Housing Market Frenzy

According to a new report from Redfin, some 60% of homes that went under contract during the four-week period ending March 6 found a buyer within two weeks—an all-time high—which appeared around the same time as supply declined to a new low.

Consumers who recently sold their homes also experienced the biggest price premiums ever seen this time of year, with the typical home selling for 1.1% above list price. Compared to the same time last year, the typical home sold for 0.3% below list price, and the median home sale price shot up 16% year-over-year to a new high of $369,125.

“Homebuyers are in a frenzy,” said Redfin Deputy Chief Economist Taylor Marr. “Buyers are reacting to changes in mortgage rates but are so far unfazed by the war in Ukraine, stock market volatility and rising oil prices. However, these risks are reaching levels that could be dangerous for the economy, and the Fed is on the cusp of raising rates further to cool inflation. The silver lining for housing is that the spike in mortgage rates has paused for now.”Key housing market takeaways for 400+ U.S. metro areas:

  • The median home sale price was up 16% year over year to a record high of $369,125, and up 34% from the same time in 2020.
  • The median asking price of newly listed homes increased 14% year over year to an all-time high of $393,250, and rose 27% from the same time in 2020.
  • The monthly mortgage payment on the median asking price home rose slightly to a record high of $2,048 at the current 3.85% mortgage rate. This was up 22% from a year earlier, when mortgage rates were 3.05%, and up 33% from the same period in 2020, when rates were 3.36%.
  • Pending home sales were up 3.4% year-over-year and up 32% from the same period in 2020, just prior to the start of the pandemic.
  • New listings of homes for sale were down 1.4% from a year earlier. Compared to 2020, new listings were down 11%.
  • Active listings fell 24% year over year, dropping to an all-time low of 456,000. Listings were down 50% from the same period in 2020.
  • Overall, approximately 58% of homes that went under contract had an accepted offer within the first two weeks on the market, an all-time high. This was up from the 52% rate of a year earlier and 44% in 2020.
  • An estimated 45% of homes that went under contract had an accepted offer within one week of hitting the market, an all-time high. This was up from 39% during the same period a year earlier and 31% in 2020.
  • Homes that sold were on the market for a median of 25 days, down from 34 days a year earlier and 53 days in 2020.
  • Some 46% of homes sold above list price, up from 36% a year earlier and 22% in 2020.
  • On average, 2.7% of homes for sale each week had a price drop, up 0.6 percentage points from the same time in 2021, but down 0.6 percentage points from 2020.
  • The average sale-to-list price ratio, which measures how close homes are selling to their asking prices, rose to 101.1%. In simpler terms, the average home sold for 1.1% above its asking price—up from 99.7% in 2021 and 98.1% in 2020.

Other leading indicators of homebuying activity included mortgage purchase applications increasing 9% week-over-week during the week ending March 4, while the week ending March 10, 30-year mortgage rates rose to 3.85% from 3.76% the prior week.

Overall, the Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index rose less than 0.1% from the previous week during the seven-day period ending March 6 and was up 10% from a year earlier.To view the full report, including charts and methodology, click here.

About Author: Demetria Lester

Demetria C. Lester is a reporter for DS News and MReport magazines with more than eight years' writing experience. She has served as content coordinator and copy editor for the Los Angeles Daily News, the Orange County Register, in addition to 11 other Southern California publications. A former editor-in-chief at Northlake College and staff writer at her alma mater, the University of Texas at Arlington, she has covered events such as the Byron Nelson and Pac-12 Conferences, progressing into her freelance work with the Dallas Wings and D Magazine. Currently located in Dallas, Texas, Lester is a jazz aesthete and loves to read. She can be reached at [email protected]

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