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Tag Archives: Housing Supply

Fannie Mae: Slow Economic Growth May Be the Near-Term Norm

While some are asking when the economy will return to normal, others are wondering if this prolonged period of below-potential GDP growth is actually the ""new normal,"" according to a report from Fannie Mae's (FNMA/OTC) Economic & Strategic Research Group. For 2013 and 2014, Fannie Mae projects a continuation of below-potential economic growth, with a 2 percent growth rate expected for 2013, similar to the lackluster performance seen in 2012.

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Economists at NAHB’s Builders’ Showcase Discuss Industry Trends

Speaking at the NAHB's International Builders' Show in Las Vegas, chief economists David Crowe (for the NAHB), David Berson (Nationwide), and Frank Nothaft (Freddie Mac) talked about the trends the housing industry can expect to see and the potential threats that may impede the recovery. In total, NAHB forecasts 949,000 total housing starts in 2013, up 21.5 percent from 781,000 in 2012. Single-family starts are expected to rise 22 percent to 650,000 in 2013 and an additional 30 percent to 844,000 in 2014.

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Pending Home Sales Down in California; Distressed Sales Increase

Pending home sales in California were brought down by lack of inventory while the share of distressed sales increased, according to data from the California Association of Realtors (C.A.R.). C.A.R.'s Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) decreased 20.5 percent month-over-month as the index slipped from November's revised 103.5 to December's 82.3. After seeing declines, the combined share of all distressed property sales ticked up to 36.4 percent in December, up from 35.1 percent in November.

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Monthly Drop in Home Sales No Cause for Despair

As the National Association of Realtors reported, home sales dropped in December. However, Capital Economics warns this should be no cause for despair. ""[M]onthly changes are volatile,"" the analytics firm stated Tuesday, adding that three-month averages are often more indicative of market trends and the numbers from a single month. Based on the three-month average, existing-home sales are still on the rise.

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Survey Finds Agents, Homebuyers Optimistic About Prices in 2013

As home prices continue to climb, real estate agents and homebuyers are maintaining a positive outlook for home values in 2013, a recent survey found. The survey, which was jointly released by Point2Homes and PropertyShark, reported 71 percent of survey respondents predicted home prices will go up or maintain their current level in 2013. The survey included nearly 1,500 real estate professionals and homebuyers.

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RE/MAX: Prices, Sales Finish Year with Gains, Inventory Declines

The housing market finished 2012 strong with year-over-year gains in home sales and prices, according to RE/MAX's December National Housing Report. The report, which covers 52 metro markets, shows a broad recovery all across the country, with both sales and prices rising almost every month in 2012. The biggest issue leftover from 2012 is inventory, which in December saw its 30th straight monthly decline.

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Hard-Hit Markets Improving; Inventory Shrunk in Most Markets

Consistent with 2012 trends, Realtor.com found Florida, California, and Arizona, ""markets that were once the epicenter of the housing crisis,"" are improving, while markets in the Midwest and Northeast continue to struggle. List prices increased in 66 of the 146 markets Realtor.com observes. Prices remained unchanged in 31 markets and decreased in 49. One trend that remained relatively consistent across most markets was inventory, which declined in 145 of the 146 markets observed.

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RE/MAX Co-Founder Offers Top 10 Predictions for 2013

RE/MAX co-founder and chairman Dave Liniger says he expects the national housing market's rebound in 2012 to not only continue into 2013, but he also thinks the year could be the best the industry has seen in a very long time. Liniger also offered his top 10 predictions for the year in a video presentation. According to the RE/MAX research team, Liniger's predictions for 2012 were 85 percent accurate.

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Redfin: Recovery Swells in Unlikely Neighborhoods

Redfin, a Seattle-based real estate broker driven by technology, is finding some of the nation's top emerging markets in what the broker says are unlikely places. Redfin studied 48 emerging neighborhoods located within 16 major metro areas across the country to determine which neighborhoods showed the most promise in terms of price growth this year. Seven of the top 10 neighborhoods are located in California. The top neighborhood is Highland Park, located in Los Angeles.

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Redfin: Sales, Listings, Prices Slip in December

Redfin's Price Tracker, a monthly report on prices, sales, and inventory across 19 U.S. markets, is based on local multiple listing services. According to the data for December, all three of the indicators tracked took a plunge during the holidays. According to Redfin, listings were down 11.5 percent from November and 33 percent from December 2011. The lack of selection proved to have a hindering effect on sales, which declined 4.1 percent from November to reach the lowest level in 10 months, Redfin reports.

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