Market Studies

Mortgage litigations in the second quarter of 2011 have more than doubled since last year, according to an industry report released Monday. During the April-to-June period, mortgage litigations reached 190 cases, up from 75 over the same quarter in 2010 and 151 during the first quarter of this year. Foreclosure-related litigation rose from 29 cases in the second quarter of 2010 to 67 cases a year later. The study also recorded a significant jump in cases involving secondary market transactions.

Mortgage lending has declined sharply in neighborhoods with high levels of foreclosures, according to the Federal Reserve. The U.S. central bank looked at what the Neighborhood Stabilization Program (NSP) identified as ""highly distressed"" census tracts. Based on information gathered under the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HDMA), the Fed found that home-purchase lending in these highly distressed tracts was 75 percent lower in 2010 than it had been in these same tracts in 2005, and primarily reflects tighter credit for higher-income borrowers.

Interest rates on home loans offered up a mixed bag of results this week. Freddie Mac says fixed-rate mortgages showed no change or dipped slightly and adjustable-rate mortgages ticked upward. Even with the inconsistencies, rates remain near their record lows. Those lows may drop farther with the Federal Reserve's announcement Wednesday that it's planning a new buying spree of mortgage-backed securities and Treasuries. Leading indicators in the bond market since the Fed's statement suggest mortgage rates will again start falling.

Commercial real estate prices have increased for three consecutive months, according to Moody's/REAL Commercial Property Price Indices. Prices are now similar to levels recorded two years ago. In July, the national index posted a 5 percent increase. It's now 12.6 percent above its post-peak low, however, it is 42.5 percent below its peak. Moody's sees the latest gain more as a continuation of the bottoming process than as a harbinger of recovery. Sales of distressed assets made up 28 percent of the market in July.

Home prices rose 0.8 percent between June and July, marking the fourth consecutive monthly increase, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) said Thursday. That string of gains is coming off a streak of declines that was three times as long. Prior to April, FHFA's index had been on a slippery downward slope for 12 straight months. FHFA's numbers are calculated using sales price information from mortgages acquired by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

The three major banks that received downgrades from Moody's this week responded with assertions of their value. Bank of America's and Wells Fargo's long-term credit ratings were downgraded, while Citigroup was hit with a downgrade of its short-term credit rating. Moody's says the downgrades stem from its belief the government is more likely now than during the financial crisis to allow a large bank to fail. The banks say that assessment is more a reflection on systemic support than their own liquidity profiles.

Home prices are expected to grow at an average annual rate of just 1.1 percent through 2015, according to a survey released Wednesday by the research firm MacroMarkets. The company polled 111 individuals, ranging from economists and real estate experts to investment and market strategists. In addition to documenting home price projections, the survey asked respondents about the government's role in the housing market. Half say further government intervention is ""unnecessary.""

Mortgage delinquencies rose to 6.62 percent in August, according to a report from CreditForecast.com, supported by Moody's Analytics and Equifax. This is up from 6.54 percent in July. Delinquencies for both first mortgages and home equity loans posted increases for the month, rising to 6.85 percent and 4.14 percent, respectively. However, the CreditForecast.com report predicts the delinquency picture will improve later in the year with a return of economic growth.

Last month's 18.6 percent surge in existing-home sales from a year earlier had some market observers doing a double-take, but Galen Ward, who runs a real estate brokerage web site, says it wasn't unexpected. Michael Simonsen of Altos Research says anything is going to look good coming off the market's tax-credit hangover this time last year. But the fact that the median home price was down more than 5 percent from August 2010 at the same time sales jumped so sharply is one of the most telling stats for Clear Capital's Alex Villacorta.

New data released by Lender Processing Services (LPS) Tuesday shows the population of mortgages going unpaid in the United States contracted during the month of August. LPS offered the media a sneak peak at several key mortgage performance statistics slated for public release later this month. The company says there were 6,397,000 home loans at least 30 days delinquent or in foreclosure as of the end of August. That's down from 6,538,000 the month before.